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Psychological Analysis of Fear-Based Healthcare Messaging: Comparing HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Through the Lens of Spiral Dynamics

Dr. Tomás Campbell [1], a member of the BPS Division of Clinical Psychology Faculty for HIV and Sexual Health, article "Towards more inclusive and Empowering Healthcare Campaigns" [2] presents a compelling analysis of the evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging over four decades, tracing a path from fear-based approaches to more empowering, inclusive strategies. This progression reflects significant advances in both medical understanding and psychological approaches to public health communication. 

The SDTEST® survey data on fears provides an excellent opportunity to examine how these evolving messaging strategies align with contemporary fear psychology and value systems as described by Spiral Dynamics theory.


Comparative Analysis of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Fear Prevalence


The SDTEST® survey "Fears" involving 3,679 participants across 105 countries reveals that HIV/AIDS now ranks relatively low at 4%, while COVID-19 ranks even lower at just 2%. Below is a abridged version of the survey results. The full results are available for free in the FAQ section after login or registration.


Strahovi

zemlja
jezik
-
Mail
Preračunati
Kritične vrijednosti koeficijenta korelacije
Normalna distribucija, William Sealy Gosset (student) r = 0.0315
Normalna distribucija, William Sealy Gosset (student) r = 0.0315
Non Normalna distribucija, od Spearman r = 0.0013
DistribucijaNe
normalno
Ne
normalno
Ne
normalno
NormalanNormalanNormalanNormalanNormalan
Sva pitanja
Sva pitanja
Moj najveći strah je
Moj najveći strah je
Answer 1-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0518
Slabo pozitivno
0.0257
Slab negativan
-0.0203
Slabo pozitivno
0.0942
Slabo pozitivno
0.0391
Slab negativan
-0.0141
Slab negativan
-0.1546
Answer 2-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0178
Slab negativan
-0.0071
Slab negativan
-0.0376
Slabo pozitivno
0.0631
Slabo pozitivno
0.0501
Slabo pozitivno
0.0133
Slab negativan
-0.0955
Answer 3-
Slab negativan
-0.0025
Slab negativan
-0.0083
Slab negativan
-0.0456
Slab negativan
-0.0432
Slabo pozitivno
0.0498
Slabo pozitivno
0.0768
Slab negativan
-0.0241
Answer 4-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0428
Slabo pozitivno
0.0297
Slab negativan
-0.0259
Slabo pozitivno
0.0175
Slabo pozitivno
0.0374
Slabo pozitivno
0.0266
Slab negativan
-0.1027
Answer 5-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0228
Slabo pozitivno
0.1240
Slabo pozitivno
0.0115
Slabo pozitivno
0.0735
Slabo pozitivno
0.0010
Slab negativan
-0.0152
Slab negativan
-0.1755
Answer 6-
Slab negativan
-0.0021
Slabo pozitivno
0.0028
Slab negativan
-0.0619
Slab negativan
-0.0110
Slabo pozitivno
0.0269
Slabo pozitivno
0.0872
Slab negativan
-0.0366
Answer 7-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0107
Slabo pozitivno
0.0313
Slab negativan
-0.0667
Slab negativan
-0.0310
Slabo pozitivno
0.0538
Slabo pozitivno
0.0715
Slab negativan
-0.0532
Answer 8-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0653
Slabo pozitivno
0.0688
Slab negativan
-0.0267
Slabo pozitivno
0.0117
Slabo pozitivno
0.0398
Slabo pozitivno
0.0185
Slab negativan
-0.1345
Answer 9-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0740
Slabo pozitivno
0.1594
Slabo pozitivno
0.0050
Slabo pozitivno
0.0612
Slab negativan
-0.0067
Slab negativan
-0.0464
Slab negativan
-0.1836
Answer 10-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0754
Slabo pozitivno
0.0624
Slab negativan
-0.0144
Slabo pozitivno
0.0273
Slabo pozitivno
0.0336
Slab negativan
-0.0107
Slab negativan
-0.1359
Answer 11-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0626
Slabo pozitivno
0.0495
Slab negativan
-0.0084
Slabo pozitivno
0.0094
Slabo pozitivno
0.0277
Slabo pozitivno
0.0251
Slab negativan
-0.1276
Answer 12-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0429
Slabo pozitivno
0.0889
Slab negativan
-0.0323
Slabo pozitivno
0.0317
Slabo pozitivno
0.0350
Slabo pozitivno
0.0265
Slab negativan
-0.1531
Answer 13-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0705
Slabo pozitivno
0.0917
Slab negativan
-0.0384
Slabo pozitivno
0.0287
Slabo pozitivno
0.0437
Slabo pozitivno
0.0151
Slab negativan
-0.1634
Answer 14-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0812
Slabo pozitivno
0.0862
Slab negativan
-0.0035
Slab negativan
-0.0129
Slabo pozitivno
0.0076
Slabo pozitivno
0.0152
Slab negativan
-0.1208
Answer 15-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0555
Slabo pozitivno
0.1235
Slab negativan
-0.0340
Slabo pozitivno
0.0113
Slab negativan
-0.0139
Slabo pozitivno
0.0261
Slab negativan
-0.1160
Answer 16-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0715
Slabo pozitivno
0.0212
Slab negativan
-0.0388
Slab negativan
-0.0401
Slabo pozitivno
0.0745
Slabo pozitivno
0.0178
Slab negativan
-0.0772


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Uredu

This modest fear prevalence contrasts sharply with the historical positioning of HIV/AIDS as a primary existential threat during the 1980s-90s. As the article aptly notes, early HIV/AIDS campaigns relied heavily on fear-based messaging, leveraging protection-motivation theory to drive behavioral change through graphic depictions of mortality and disease. The current survey results suggest these diseases have been partially normalized in the public consciousness, supporting the article's observation that medical advancements have transformed HIV from a death sentence to a manageable chronic condition.


When examining broader fear contexts, it's noteworthy that personal concerns about "illness of relatives and children" (11%) and general "illness" (8%) outrank specific disease fears like HIV/AIDS or COVID-19. This pattern indicates that abstract illness threats generate more anxiety than particular diseases that have been subject to extensive public education campaigns. This finding aligns with the article's discussion of how healthcare messaging has evolved toward destigmatization and normalization, particularly for HIV/AIDS.


Spiral Dynamics Correlations: Understanding Value Systems and Fear Responses


The correlation data between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provides fascinating insights into how different value systems engage with health threats. HIV/AIDS shows a positive correlation (0.0662) with Orange-level thinking, which represents achievement-oriented, strategic value systems. This alignment makes psychological sense, as Orange thinking prioritizes personal agency and risk management. Individuals operating from this value system may respond more actively to diseases perceived as consequences of personal behavior choices.


Conversely, HIV/AIDS fears correlate negatively with Yellow (-0.0516) and more strongly with Turquoise (-0.1776) value systems. These second-tier thinking systems in Spiral Dynamics represent more complex, integrative worldviews that may contextualize disease within a broader systemic understanding. The stronger negative correlation with Turquoise thinking is particularly notable, as this holistic perspective tends to integrate mortality and vulnerability into a comprehensive worldview, potentially reducing fear responses to specific conditions.


For COVID-19, the correlation pattern differs significantly. The positive correlation with Green thinking (0.0637) suggests that communitarian, egalitarian value systems may experience heightened concern about highly communicable diseases that threaten community well-being. This aligns with the article's discussion of how modern healthcare campaigns increasingly emphasize collective responsibility and community protection. The negative correlations with Blue (-0.0342), Orange (-0.0409), and Turquoise (-0.0748) value systems suggest varied psychological responses across the spiral.


Implications for Evolving Healthcare Messaging


The article chronicles a shift from fear-based campaigns toward empowerment and behavioral strategies, noting how psychological frameworks like self-efficacy theory and social norm theory have informed this evolution. The SDTEST® data supports the efficacy of this shift by demonstrating relatively low fear ratings for HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigma. This suggests that destigmatizing, empowering messaging approaches may have successfully normalized the condition in public consciousness.


The varying correlations between fears and Spiral Dynamics stages also validate the article's emphasis on intersectionality and tailored messaging. Different value systems appear to process disease threats through distinct psychological frameworks, which has significant implications for public health communication. The article notes that "campaigns are now much more carefully designed to address diverse populations," which aligns with the need to consider value system diversity in designing effective interventions.


Advancing Psychologically Informed Healthcare Communications


The relatively weak correlation between disease fears and specific Spiral Dynamics stages (with the critical value of the correlation coefficient for a normal distribution, by William Sealy Gosset (Student) r = 0.0323) suggests that fears of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 transcend value systems but manifest differently within them. This finding supports the article's conclusion that messaging must "remain effective, compassionate, and mindful of nuance." The positive correlation between HIV/AIDS fears and Orange thinking, contrasted with COVID-19's positive correlation with Green thinking, demonstrates how different diseases activate different value concerns.


The article's discussion of digital and social media platforms as vectors for modern healthcare messaging presents opportunities for even more targeted value-specific communications. Understanding the psychological frameworks through which different Spiral Dynamics stages process health information could enable micro-targeted campaigns that resonate more effectively with diverse audiences. For instance, messaging aimed at Orange-dominant thinkers might emphasize personal agency and achievement in health management, while Green-focused messaging might highlight community protection and collective responsibility.


Conclusion


The evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging described in the article reflects a sophisticated understanding of psychological principles, moving from protection-motivation theory toward self-efficacy and social norm approaches. The SDTEST® data validates this progression by showing relatively modest contemporary fear responses to HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigmatization. The correlation patterns between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provide valuable insights for further refining healthcare communications to resonate with different value systems.


The comparative data between HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 fears, particularly their different correlation patterns with Spiral Dynamics stages, suggests that disease characteristics interact with value systems to produce distinct psychological responses. As the article argues, effective healthcare campaigns must continue to evolve based on evidence rather than prejudice. The SDTEST® data offers this evidence, demonstrating how fears of specific conditions correlate with different psychological frameworks and value systems.


This integration of fear psychology, mathematical correlation, and Spiral Dynamics theory provides a robust foundation for developing increasingly sophisticated, psychologically informed healthcare messaging strategies that can effectively engage diverse populations across the spiral of human development.



Sources

[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-campbell-40202785/
[2] https://www.bps.org.uk/blog/towards-more-inclusive-and-empowering-healthcare-campaigns


2025.02.28
Valerii Kosenko
Vlasnik proizvoda SaaS SDTEST®

Valerii je 1993. godine stekao kvalifikaciju socijalnog pedagoga-psihologa i od tada primjenjuje svoje znanje u upravljanju projektima.
Valerii je magistrirao i kvalifikaciju menadžera projekta i programa 2013. godine. Tokom magistarskog programa upoznao se sa Planom puta projekta (GPM Deutsche Gesellschaft für Projektmanagement e. V.) i Spiral Dynamics.
Valerii je autor istraživanja neizvjesnosti V.U.C.A. koncept koji koristi spiralnu dinamiku i matematičku statistiku u psihologiji i 38 međunarodnih anketa.
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